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Investing in Review

A look back on 2025 & thoughts for 2026

  • Updated
  • 2 min to read
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Source – RBC Wealth Management, Bloomberg; daily data through 12/31/25

The year 2025 was dominated by President Donald Trump and tariffs, along with his constant criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. March and April of 2025 saw the S&P 500 decline from peak to trough in the mid- to high-teens. This isn’t highly unusual in markets, but the speed at which it happened was. As I’ve written before, stock values are mostly supported by earnings. During this period, investors were worried these tariffs could hurt corporate profits, add to inflationary pressures and set the stage for higher interest rates.

Eventually, things settled down and markets recovered significantly, ending the year up almost 18 percent for the S&P 500, while certain foreign markets were positive by more than 30 percent. The biggest surprise of the year was how well certain international markets did. As the dollar fell in value against other currencies, it made those overseas holdings more valuable. A weaker dollar also makes sense for an administration locked in on trying to level the playing field on trade imbalances in the U.S. This weaker dollar makes U.S. goods cheaper when exported to other countries and their goods more expensive when imported into the U.S.

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* The five stocks, from largest to smallest contribution to the S&P 500 total return, were Microsoft, Broadcom, JPMorgan Chase, Palantir Technologies, and Meta Platforms.

** 524 stocks were in the S&P 500 during the period (two Alphabet share classes counted once), a small number for part of the year.

Source – RBC Wealth Management, FactSet; annual total-return data (includes dividends) through 12/31/25

~ Lee Williams, CFP®, WMCP® 

 

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