(The Center Square) – Incumbent U.S. Reps. Don Davis and Chuck Edwards on Thursday received new election ratings forecasts from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, each in a district changed to toss-up from leans Republican.
Known colloquially as Sabato’s Crystal Ball, founder and Editor in Chief Larry Sabato along with Managing Editor Kyle Kondik and Associate Editor Miles Coleman analyzes every election race in the nation involving the president, U.S. Senate, U.S. House of Representatives, and governors. Taxpayer dollars, federal and from Virginia, fund the Center for Politics.
kAmx? E96 &]$] $6?2E6 C246[ E96 6=64E:@? 2?2=JDE @? yF?6 `` 492?865 E96 C246 @7 s6>@4C2E #@J r@@A6C 2?5 #6AF3=:42? |:4926= (92E=6J 7C@> E@DD\FA E@ =62?D s6>@4C2E] %96C6 92D 366? ?@ 492?86 D:?46]k^Am
kAm|2;@C:EJ A@H6C :? E96 $6?2E6 2?5 w@FD6 @7 #6AC6D6?E2E:G6D 7:8FC6D E@ 36 :>A24E65 3J 2E =62DE EH@ C246D :? E96 ~=5 }@CE9 $E2E6[ 2?5 A6C92AD E9C66 :7 $232E@VD :? @? E2C86E] k2 9C67lQ9EEADi^^HHH]D6?2E6]8@G^9:DE@CJ^A2CEJ5:G]9E>Q E2C86ElQ03=2?<QmkDEC@?8m#6AF3=:42?D 92G6 db D62EDk^DEC@?8mk^2m :? E96 FAA6C 492>36C[ 2?5 k2 9C67lQ9EEADi^^AC6DD82==6CJ]9@FD6]8@G^>6>36C\52E2^A2CEJ\3C62<5@H?Q E2C86ElQ03=2?<QmkDEC@?8ma`g :? E96 =@H6C 492>36Ck^DEC@?8mk^2m H96C6 E96C6 2C6 7@FC G242?4:6D 2?5 @?6 :?56A6?56?E 7@C>6C=J 2 #6AF3=:42? 2?5 DE:== 42F4FD:?8 H:E9 E96>] pE E96 a_ac 6=64E:@? 4J4=6[ #6AF3=:42?D 82:?65 2 aa_\a`d 6586]k^Am
kAm}@CE9 r2C@=:?2 92D EH@ #6AF3=:42?D :? E96 $6?2E6[ `_ :? E96 w@FD6[ 2?5 7@FC s6>@4C2ED :? E96 w@FD6]k^Am
kAms2G:D[ @7 E96 `DE r@?8C6DD:@?2= s:DEC:4E[ :D 2 s6>@4C2E 492==6?865 3J #6AF3=:42? {2FC:6 qF4<9@FE] t5H2C5D[ @7 E96 ``E9 r@?8C6DD:@?2= s:DEC:4E[ :D 2 #6AF3=:42? 492==6?865 3J s6>@4C2E y2>:6 p86C]k^Am
kAm#6AF3=:42?D 92G6 ?6G6C 5@?6 H6== :? E96 ?@CE962DE6C? A2CE @7 E96 DE2E6] %96 =2DE E:>6 E96 &]$] w@FD6 C6AC6D6?E2E:G6 :? E96 ?@CE962DE6C? A2CE @7 E96 DE2E6 H2D H@? 3J 2 #6AF3=:42? H2D E96 `gga 6=64E:@?] %92E H2D f` &]$] w@FD6 6=64E:@?D 28@]k^Am
kAm%96 v6?6C2= pDD6>3=J 492?865 E96 4@?8C6DD:@?2= >2A E@ 96=A =2DE 72==]k^Am
kAmq62F7@CE[ wJ56[ s2C6[ rC2G6?[ !2>=:4@ 2?5 r2CE6C6E 4@F?E:6D 492?86 7C@> E96 bC5 E@ E96 `DE r@?8C6DD:@?2= s:DEC:4Ej (:=D@?[ (2J?6[ vC66?6 2?5 {6?@:C 4@F?E:6D 492?86 7C@> E96 `DE E@ E96 bC5] %96 @?=J 5:DEC:4E @7 `c H:E9 4=@D6C E92? `bT 5:776C6?46 :? a_ac H2D 2 H:? 3J s2G:D @G6C qF4<9@FE 3J `]fT]k^Am
kAm$232E@VD D2JD :? A2CE[ “2 E@DD\FA C2E:?8 >:89E 36 2 =:EE=6 86?6C@FD]” xE 2=D@ ?@E6D 2D 2 9FCE E@ #6AF3=:42?D E92E 2 {:36CE2C:2? :D @? E96 32==@E] %@> q2:=6J[ @7 vC66?D3@C@[ =:G6D 4=@D6DE E@ E96 5:DEC:4E 2E 2 C@F89=J g_ >:=6D C:56 E@ E96 H6DE6C?\>@DE 6586 @7 E96 5:DEC:4E :? vC2?G:==6 r@F?EJ 2?5 :D 72CE96DE 2E ad_ >:=6D E@ E96 62DE6C?\>@DE 6586 2E r2A6 {@@<@FE :? r2CE6C6E r@F?EJ]k^Am
kAmr@?8C6DD>6? 5@ ?@E 92G6 E@ =:G6 :? E96:C C6DA64E:G6 5:DEC:4ED]k^Am
kAms:776C6?E:2E:@?D 3642FD6 @7 4@FCE @C56CD 92G6 366? :? 6249 >2A FD65 7@C 7@FC @7 E96 =2DE 7:G6 4@?8C6DD:@?2= 6=64E:@?D – a_`e[ a_`g[ a_a_ 2?5 a_aa] %96 {68:D=2EFC6’D 5C2H :? a_ac H2D E96 @E96C]k^Am
kAmt5H2C5D’ 5:DEC:4E :? E96 >@F?E2:?D[ 7C@> pG6CJ E@ |4s@H6== 2?5 !@=< 4@F?E:6D ?@CE9\D@FE9 6IE6?5:?8 E@ E96 D@FE9H6DE6C? E:A @7 E96 DE2E6[ :D :? E96 962CE @7 4=62?FA 7C@> wFCC:42?6 w6=6?6’D C6>?2?ED 4@>:?8 E9C@F89 :? $6AE6>36C a_ac] p86C 8@E E96 3F>A :? A2CE E9C@F89 42>A2:8? 7:?2?46 C6A@CED[ $232E@’D rCJDE2= q2== D2JD]k^Am
kAmp86C[ E9C@F89 E96 D64@?5 BF2CE6C 6?5:?8 yF?6 b_[ 92D 5@?2E:@?D @7 >@C6 E92? Sb >:==:@? 2?5 42D9 @? 92?5 @7 >@C6 E92? Sa]` >:==:@?[ 244@C5:?8 E@ E96 u656C2= t=64E:@?D r@>>:DD:@?] t5H2C5D 92D 5@?2E:@?D @7 Sh`d[___ 2?5 42D9 @? 92?5 @7 Scgd[___] k2 9C67lQ9EEADi^^46?E6C7@CA@=:E:4D]@C8^4CJDE2=32==^a_ae\C2E:?8\492?86D^Q E2C86ElQ03=2?<QmkDEC@?8m%96 2?2=JD:D ?@E6Dk^DEC@?8mk^2m @?=J S`dd[___ C2:D65 3J t5H2C5D :? E96 D64@?5 BF2CE6C 2=@?8 H:E9 2 r@>>:EE66 @? tE9:4D AC@36 :? E96 w@FD6]k^Am
kAm%96 5:DEC:4E H2D 42CC:65 3J D64@?5\E6C> #6AF3=:42? !C6D:56?E s@?2=5 %CF>A E9C66 E:>6D[ :?4=F5:?8 3J `_T :? a_ac] w6VD 2=D@ ?62C:?8 D2J:?8 9@H 23@FE Sbgd >:==:@? :? E96 |pvp[ x?4] DFA6C !pr H:== 36 5:DEC:3FE65]k^Am
kAmt5H2C5D 56762E65 s6>@4C2E r2=63 #F5@H de]gT\cb]aT :? a_acj 2?5 y2D>:?6 q6249\u6CC2C2 db]gT\cc]dT :? a_aa[ H:E9 {:36CE2C:2? s2G:5 r@2E?6J W`]fTX @? E96 32==@E] %96 D62E 36=@?865 E@ #6AF3=:42? |25:D@? r2HE9@C? 367@C6 t5H2C5D[ 2?5 96 H@? :? a_a_ 3J `a]aT] #6AF3=:42? |2C< |625@HD AC6G2:=65 3J a_]dT :? a_`g[ ag]aT :? a_`e[ ad]gT :? a_`c 2?5 `c]gT :? a_`a]k^Am
kAmu@C>6C %6??6DD66 BF2CE6C324< 2?5 A@AF=2C[ E9C66\E:>6 $H2:? r@F?EJ w:89 DE2E6 492>A:@? w62E9 $9F=6C 7C@> qCJD@? r:EJ H2D E96 =2DE s6>@4C2E E@ H:? E96 D62E :? a_`_]k^Am
kAmp3D6?E66 32==@ED 8@ :?E@ E96 >2:= $6AE] c – @C 7:G6 H66<D 7C@> E9:D 4@>:?8 uC:52J] }@CE9 r2C@=:?:2?D H:== 49@@D6 2 &]$] D6?2E@C[ 2== `c >6>36CD @7 E96 &]$] w@FD6[ 2?5 2== `f_ >6>36CD @7 E96 v6?6C2= pDD6>3=J]k^Am
