IMF economists warned Thursday that the war in Iran could have “very, certainly severe” consequences far outside the region – especially for energy-importing countries.
Countries in East Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa are among the countries most affected now -- and who could suffer the most -- outside the region, as the conflict stretches on.
kAmxC@?:42==J[ E96 @?8@:?8 G:CEF2= 4=@DFC6 @7 E96 $EC2:E @7 w@C>FK \\ E9C@F89 H9:49 23@FE @?6\7:7E9 @7 E96 H@C=5VD @:= 2?5 82D A2DD6D \\ 92D 366? 2 H:?572== 7@C D@>6 A6EC@=6F>\6IA@CE:?8 ?2E:@?D[ =:<6 }:86C:2 @C p=86C:2]k^Am
kAmqFE 7@C E9@D6 E92E C6=J @? :>A@CED 7@C 7@@5[ 76CE:=:K6C[ 2?5 6?6C8J[ E96 6=6G2E65 AC:46D 2C6 AC@G:?8 H@CC:D@>6]k^Am
kAmQ~:= :>A24E65 :>A@CE6CD[ A2CE:4F=2C=J ?@?\C6D@FC46\C:49 2?5 7C28:=6 DE2E6D[ 7246 56E6C:@C2E:?8 EC256 32=2?46D[ C:D:?8 =:G:?8 4@DED 2?5 =:>:E65 3F776CDQ E@ 23D@C3 7FEFC6 D9@4<D[Q H2C?65 p3636 $6=2DD:6[ E96 x?E6C?2E:@?2= |@?6E2CJ uF?5 Wx|uX s:C64E@C 7@C p7C:42[ 2E 2 AC6DD 4@?76C6?46 %9FCD52J]k^Am
kAmQ%96 9F>2? 4@?D6BF6?46D 2C6 2=>@DE 46CE2:? E@ 36 D6G6C6[Q 96 25565]k^Am
kAmx|u 64@?@>:DED 2C6 3C:67:?8 8@G6C?>6?E @77:4:2=D 2?5 >65:2 @? E96:C =2E6DE 64@?@>:4 2?2=JD:D 2D E96J 9@=5 E96:C DAC:?8 >66E:?8D 2=@?8D:56 E96 (@C=5 q2?< E9:D H66< :? (2D9:?8E@?]k^Am
k9am\ w:EE:?8 E96 >@DE GF=?6C23=6 \k^9am
kAm$F3\$292C2? p7C:42 \\ H9:49 7@C x|u DE2E:DE:42= AFCA@D6D 5@6D ?@E :?4=F56 $F52? 2?5 A2CED @7 E96 w@C? @7 p7C:42 \\ 4@F=5 D66 a_ >:==:@? A6@A=6 AFD965 E@H2C5D 9F?86C[ 2? x|u C6A@CE D2:5]k^Am
kAmu@C $296= 4@F?EC:6D[ H96C6 A@G6CEJ :D H:56DAC625[ 724E@CD E92E 2C6 6IA64E65 E@ 5C:G6 FA E96 4@DE @7 7@@5 :?4=F56 D42C46[ 6IA6?D:G6 76CE:=:K6C 2?5 C:D:?8 EC2?DA@CE2E:@? 4@DED]k^Am
kAmQp=C625J EC2?DA@CE2E:@? 4@DED 2C6 G6CJ 9:89 7@C A6@A=6 :? FC32? 2C62D[ CFC2= 2C62D 6G6? >@C6 D@[Q $6=2DD:6 6IA=2:?65] Q(6 2C6 2=C625J D66:?8 BF:E6 2 3:E @7 2 A:?49 7C@> E96 4C:D:D @? A6@A=6[ :>A@G6C:D9:?8 A6@A=6 \\ :EVD >2<:?8 =:76 5:77:4F=E 7@C A6@A=6]Qk^Am
kAm%96 64@?@>:4 67764ED @7 E96 4C:D:D 9:E 2E 2 E:>6 H96? :?E6C?2E:@?2= 2:5 :D :? DE66A 564=:?6[ 2?@E96C D@FC46 @7 4@?46C? 7@C E96 x|u]k^Am
kAm%96 2:5 564=:?6D 2C6?VE 2 E6>A@C2CJ 633[ 3FE 2C6 Q>@C6 DECF4EFC2=[Q $6=2DD:6 D2:5] QxE :D 72==:?8 92C56DE @? E96 C68:@?VD >@DE GF=?6C23=6 4@F?EC:6D \\ 7C28:=6 DE2E6D 2?5 =@H\:?4@>6 64@?@>:6D \\ E92E 56A6?5 @? 2:5[ ?@E 2D 2 DFAA=6>6?E 3FE 2D 2 4C:E:42= D@FC46 @7 3F586E 7:?2?4:?8 7@C 962=E942C6 2?5 7@@5 2DD:DE2?46]Qk^Am
k9am\ w62GJ @:= C6=:2?46 \k^9am
kAmuFCE96C 27:6=5[ D>2== !24:7:4 :D=2?5D 2C6 @7 8C62E 4@?46C?[ D2:5 E96 x|uVD pD:2\!24:7:4 s:C64E@C zC:D9?2 $C:?:G2D2?[ 5F6 E@ E96:C 962GJ C6=:2?46 6?6C8J :>A@CED 2?5 E96 2>@F?E @7 E:>6 :E E2<6D D9:AD E@ C6249 E96> \\ 6G6? H96? D9:AA:?8 5:DCFAE:@?D 2C6 >:?:>2=]k^Am
kAm+@@>:?8 @FE[ E96 6?E:C6 C68:@? \\ ?@E ;FDE D>2== :D=2?5D \\ 7246D F?:BF6 C:D<D 3642FD6 :E DA6?5D 2=>@DE 5@F3=6 H92E tFC@A6 5@6D @? @:= 2?5 82D[ 2D 2 A6C46?E @7 vs!]k^Am
kAm$@>6 4@F?EC:6D[ DF49 2D |2=2JD:2 2?5 %92:=2?5 DA6?5 2C@F?5 `_ A6C46?E @7 E96:C vs! @? @:= 2?5 82D \\ 2 D:8? @7 9@H C6=:2?E E96J 2C6 @? 6?6C8J :>A@CED]k^Am
k9am\ s@H?8C256D =:<6 a__g \k^9am
kAm}@?6 @7 E9:D :D E@ 5@H?A=2J E96 67764ED :? E96 |:55=6 t2DE[ H96C6 E96 x|uVD C68:@?2= 5:C64E@C[ y:925 pK@FC[ E@=5 C6A@CE6CD E92E E96:C FA52E65 6DE:>2E6D @7 64@?@>:4 24E:G:EJ 2C6 Q2>@?8 E96 =2C86DE D:I\>@?E9 5@H?8C256D E@ C68:@?2= 8C@HE9 AC@;64E:@?D H6 92G6 >256 D:?46 E96 8=@32= 7:?2?4:2= 4C:D:D]Qk^Am
kAm|2C<6ED 2C6 ?@H 56>2?5:?8 9:896C :?E6C6DE C2E6D 24C@DD E96 3@2C5[ 7FCE96C 5C:G:?8 FA E96 4@DE @7 3@CC@H:?8 7@C 4@F?EC:6D :? E96 C68:@? E92E H6C6 2=C625J 724:?8 5:77:4F=E:6D]k^Am
kAmw6C6 282:?[ 7@@5 :D 2 AC6DDFC6 :DDF6[ 6DA64:2==J :? E96 C68:@?VD A@@C6DE]k^Am
kAmQu@@5 :E6>D 2=C625J 244@F?E 7@C cd E@ d_ A6C46?E @7 E@E2= :>A@CED :? *6>6?[ $F52?[ $@>2=:2 2?5 >@C6 E92? 92=7 @7 E96:C A@AF=2E:@? 2C6 2=C625J 6IA6C:6?4:?8 7@@5 :?D64FC:EJ[Q pK@FC D2:5]k^Am
kAm$@ H92EVD E@ 36 5@?6n k^Am
kAmx|u @77:4:2=D 92G6 C6A62E65 E96 D2>6 >2?EC2 2== H66<i 8@G6C?>6?ED D9@F=5 25@AE @?=J E6>A@C2CJ[ =:>:E65 >62DFC6D E@ 2G@:5 7FCE96C DEC6E49:?8 2=C625J E9:? 3F586ED]k^Am
kAm6=D\A?3^D=2k^Am